Expert Details

Expert in Project Risk Management, Project Management, Cost Engineering, Technology Forecasting

Expert ID: 712778 California, USA

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Expert is a leader in performing analyses and developing recommendations for potential manufacturing cost reductions associated with Air Force space programs. The results of his studies have been an integral part of cost estimates provided to the Air Force and Congress. He led the engineering design, cost analysis, and manufacturing assessment subpanel of a national-level Study, which evaluated the feasibility of all candidate systems. He also led the manufacturing assessments on all satellite subsystems for a critical Air Force program.

Since 1981, Expert has been involved with evaluating the economic, organizational behavior, and technical interactions between buyers and sellers for defense, space, and large-scale civilian projects. He developed a thorough analytical model that can be adapted to any country that describes buyer-seller interactions, including identifying preferences for buyers and sellers, relevant programmatic and technical constraints, the likely range of outcomes, and the effect of program dynamics on these outcomes. This work was validated by a statistical analysis that used extensive data and case study analysis.

Expert has led numerous studies since 1977. Expert examined dual sourcing strategies for the cruise missile engine, guidance, and air vehicle subsystems. He also led an extensive acquisition study for the Director of SDIO comparing acquisition, programmatic, and technical characteristics of SDI versus historical military and commercial programs. Many other studies were performed and information is available upon validated need to know.

Expert led cost research roadmap studies on numerous military space systems. The recommendations provided in these detailed reports became the basis for advanced technology cost research. Expert served as a cost research analyst and technical advisor on advanced spacecraft technology projects for focal plane arrays, optical telescope assemblies, cryocoolers, gimbals, and a variety of electronic components. He developed novel approaches for estimating the cost of spacecraft items, including analogies between microelectronic production and focal plane array (detector and readout) chips. From 1986 to 1990, he served as an independent technical advisor to the Air Force and the Aerospace Corporation on electro-optical sensor subsystem cost estimating approaches and methodology.

Expert has serviced more than 25 times as risk manager and mentor to risk managers on a wide variety of programs and proposals. This includes more than $10 billion in contract award and option dollars.

Since 1987, Expert has led numerous technology development and evaluation activities of aerospace programs. He led the engineering design, cost analysis, and manufacturing assessment subpanel of a national-level study, and has performed a wide variety of analyses on DoD programs.

Expert developed state-of-the-art sensor and imagery simulations from ultra-violet through microwave wavelengths. He performed image processing and photo interpretation on dozens of projects. His work has supported a wide variety of military and commercial projects.

Expert has written and validated large-scale programs, including several advanced system simulation programs for a variety of customers. Specific details provided upon validated need to know.

Expert may consult nationally and internationally, and is also local to the following cities: Los Angeles, California - San Diego, California - Long Beach, California - Santa Ana, California - Anaheim, California - Riverside, California - Bakersfield, California - Glendale, California - Huntington Beach, California - San Bernardino, California

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Year Degree Subject Institution
Year: 1993 Degree: Ph.D. Subject: Policy Analysis Institution: Rand Corporation Graduate School
Year: 1983 Degree: Ph. M. Subject: Policy Analysis Institution: Rand Corporation Graduate School
Year: 1976 Degree: Ph.D. Subject: General Engineering Institution: Oklahoma State University
Year: 1973 Degree: MS Subject: Nuclear Engineering Institution: University of Arizona
Year: 1971 Degree: BSNE Subject: Nuclear Engineering Institution: University of Arizona

Work History

Years Employer Title Department Responsibilities
Years: 1988 to Present Employer: Undisclosed Title: President Department: Responsibilities: Expert has 30+ years of risk and project management, and technical experience supporting industry and government. He helps clients reduce project risk and uncertainty, and better develop and deliver products within budget, on-time, and meeting performance requirements. Expert is a nationally recognized expert and helped to develop risk management policy that is in widespread use across industry, government, and professional organizations. He has served more than 25 times as a risk manager and mentor to risk managers on a wide variety of programs and proposals. Expert is the author of the book: Effective Risk Management: Some Keys to Success, Second Edition, (AIAA, 2003), author of the risk management chapter in Harold Kerzner's best selling book, Project Management: A Systems Approach to Planning, Scheduling, and Controlling, Seventh through Ninth Editions (Wiley); and other publications.
Years: 1979 to 1988 Employer: The Aerospace Corporation Title: Corporate Staff Engineer Department: Responsibilities: Involved with risk management, cost engineering, manufacturing, project management, and engineering design analysis to aerospace programs.
Years: 1977 to 1979 Employer: General Dynamics Title: Engineering Specialist Department: Advanced Avionics Responsibilities: Performed simulation and preliminary design of a wide variety of advanced guidance systems and imaging systems.

Government Experience

Years Agency Role Description
Years: 1980 to 1991 Agency: U. S. Arms Control and Disarmament Agency Role: Consultant Description: Special Government Employee

Career Accomplishments

Associations / Societies
Expert is a member of the American Society of Photogrammetry and Remote Sensing, an Associate Fellow and Life Member of the American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics, a Senior Member of IEEE, a Member of the International Council on Systems Engineering, a Member of the Institute of Management Consultants, and a Member of the Project Management Institute.
Licenses / Certifications
Awards / Recognition
Expert was cited by the US State Department and NOAA for outstanding contributions made to Ethiopian drought and refugee assessment efforts as Chief US Government Imagery Photo-interpreter. This was the first time remote sensing data was used in an emergency relief effort, which proved instrumental in saving thousands of lives.

Expert was awarded the David Acker award for Skill in Communication at the DoD Acquisition Research Symposium, and was awarded the Best Contractor Paper award at the DoD Cost Analysis Symposium.
Publications and Patents Summary
Expert has more than 100 professional publications and presentations in risk management, project management, and related fields A listing can be found on his web site,

Fields of Expertise

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